S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 11?
Live
- $16.9K
- $17.0K
- 74
- $20.1K
- $12.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $74599.8%
- $73099.7%
- $73599.6%
- $74099.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$745
$2.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.8¢No 0.2¢ - > 99 %
$730
$100.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢ - > 99 %
$735
$124.78 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - > 99 %
$740
$85.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - > 99 %
$750
$746.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.2¢No 0.8¢ - 97.9 %
$755
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 97.9¢No 2.1¢ - 68.5 %
$760
$11.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢ - 2.3 %
$765
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 2.3¢No 97.7¢ - < 1 %
$775
$79.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢ - < 1 %
$770
Yes 0.7¢No 99.3¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 352
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 23,541 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 11?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 11, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026 19:32 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.