What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO?
Live
- $9.6K
- $20.4K
- 75
- $7.5K
- $75.9K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 6% to 7%79.2%
- 5% to 6%12.0%
- 7% to 8%5.1%
- 4% to 5%3.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
10 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 10 open questions add up to 102.0¢.
- 79.2 %
6% to 7%
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 79.2¢No 20.8¢ - 12.0 %
5% to 6%
$1.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢ - 5.1 %
7% to 8%
$414.93 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢ - 3.1 %
4% to 5%
$3.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 3.1¢No 96.9¢ - 1.1 %
8% to 9%
$424.94 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
9% to 10%
$410.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢ - < 1 %
10% to 11%
$415.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
<4%
$964.45 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
12%+
$311.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢ - < 1 %
11% to 12%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · AI
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 10 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 281
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 18,739 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the percentage of Anthropic's total outstanding shares sold in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The number of shares sold is defined as the total number of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold by Anthropic and shares sold by selling stockholders as part of the IPO offering will both be included. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be included in the number of shares sold. Total outstanding shares is defined as the number of shares of Class A common stock plus the number of shares of Class N common stock to be outstanding after the offering, each as stated in the section titled "The Offering" of the final prospectus, using the Class A figure that assumes no exercise of the overallotment option. The percentage will be calculated by dividing the number of shares sold by the total outstanding shares, without rounding. If the percentage falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 10 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 10, 2026 18:13 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.