When will Bitcoin hit $100k?
Live
- $4.1K
- $48.1K
- 24
- $39.7K
- $73.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- by December 31, 202785.0%
- by September 30, 202769.0%
- by June 30, 202763.0%
- by March 31, 202751.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
5 open · 1 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Crypto · Bitcoin
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 7% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 20% maker rebate
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 5 open · 1 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 36
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 7,526 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This event has 6 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
1 of the 6 have already settled No.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 05:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 23:06 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.