When will the nationwide ground stop be lifted?
Live
- $20.6K
- $20.6K
- 73
- $10.6K
- $187.8K
Where holders with a record are, by question
as of 02:15 UTC9 wallets with a positive Politics record hold $50 or more on this event.
- Nov 13, 8–9 PM99.6¢Yes 2 · $5.9K · paid 99.9¢No 1 · $89 · paid 34.4¢
- Nov 13, 10–11 PM0.1¢Yes noneNo 1 · $141 · paid 90.6¢
- Nov 13, 11 PM – Nov 14, 12 AM0.1¢Yes noneNo 2 · $130 · paid 98.5¢
- Nov 14, 2–3 AM0.1¢Yes noneNo 4 · $553 · paid 99.0¢
- Nov 14, 8–9 AM0.1¢Yes noneNo 3 · $474 · paid 99.0¢
- Nov 13, 9–10 PM0.1¢Yes noneNo 1 · $117 · paid 97.4¢
Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Nov 13, 8–9 PM99.6%
- Nov 13, 10–11 PM0.1%
- Nov 13, 11 PM – Nov 14, 12 AM0.1%
- Nov 13, 9–10 PM0.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
17 open · 2 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 17 open questions add up to 100.4¢.
- > 99 %
Nov 13, 8–9 PM
$8.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢ - < 1 %
Nov 13, 10–11 PM
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 13, 11 PM – Nov 14, 12 AM
$717.33 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 2–3 AM
$606.14 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 8–9 AM
$597.96 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 13, 9–10 PM
$577.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 10–11 AM
$573.56 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 11 AM–12 PM
$562.87 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 1–2 AM
$552.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 3–4 AM
$552.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
- < 1 %
Nov 14, 4–5 AM
$552.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 9–10 AM
$552.57 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 5–6 AM
$528.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 7–8 AM
$528.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 12–1 AM
$515.05 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 6–7 AM
$401.53 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢ - < 1 %
Nov 14, 12 PM or later
$346.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Trump
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 17 open · 2 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 274
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,093 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The FAA issued a nationwide ground stop for flights departing U.S. airports on November 13, 2026 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/11/13/us/faa-nationwide-ground-stop). This market will resolve according to the time, in Eastern Time (ET), at which the FAA, the U.S. Department of Transportation, or their authorized representatives officially announce that this nationwide ground stop is no longer in effect. If such an announcement is made before November 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to the bracket that contains the time of that announcement. "Nov 13, before 7 PM" covers any qualifying announcement made before 7:00 PM ET on November 13, 2026, including before this market's creation. If no qualifying announcement is made before November 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nov 14, 12 PM or later". If the time of the announcement falls exactly between two brackets (e.g. 8:00 PM ET), then this market will resolve to the later time bracket. A qualifying announcement must communicate that the nationwide (all-airports) ground stop is cancelled or otherwise no longer in effect, including where it is replaced by narrower ground stops or other traffic management initiatives at individual airports or regions. Announcements that the ground stop is lifted for, or does not affect, specific airports, regions, or flights while the nationwide ground stop remains in effect will not count. An announcement that the ground stop will end at a future time will not qualify until its effective time; in that case, the effective time will be used to determine the resolution bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FAA & the Department of Transportation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 19 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
2 of the 19 have already settled No.
It can settle from Nov 14, 2026 17:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 03:42 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.