Who will appear in a 2027 Big Game commercial?
Live
- $8.4K
- $8.4K
- 67
- $5.4K
- $36.4K
Where holders with a record are, by question
as of 01:24 UTC2 wallets with a positive Pop Culture record hold $50 or more on this event.
- Peyton Manning81.0¢Yes 1 · $101 · paid 77.6¢No none
- Kevin Hart41.5¢Yes noneNo none
- Sabrina Carpenter26.5¢Yes noneNo none
- Travis Kelce43.0¢Yes noneNo none
- Elon Musk7.0¢Yes noneNo none
- Tom Brady68.3¢Yes 1 · $73 · paid 73.1¢No none
Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Pop Culture record beat the price paid by 2.03¢ a share (others −0.75¢; 44,631 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,436 markets). How we measured
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Peyton Manning81.0%
- Ben Affleck75.5%
- Matthew McConaughey72.5%
- Tom Brady68.3%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 81.0 %
Peyton Manning
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢ - 75.5 %
Ben Affleck
$79.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢ - 72.5 %
Matthew McConaughey
$543.61 traded, 24 h
Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢ - 68.3 %
Tom Brady
$602.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 68.3¢No 31.7¢ - 46.5 %
Ryan Reynolds
$58.00 traded, 24 h
Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢ - 44.0 %
Snoop Dogg
$60.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢ - 43.0 %
Travis Kelce
$721.15 traded, 24 h
Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢ - 41.5 %
Kevin Hart
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢ - 41.5 %
MrBeast
$393.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢ - 33.0 %
Jennifer Aniston
$9.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Celebrities
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 15 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 435
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 20,811 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual appears in an advertisement during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, scheduled for February 14, 2027, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The listed individual must appear in video form; voice-only appearances will not independently qualify. Archival footage, lookalikes, and AI-generated or digitally created likenesses will not count. The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 15 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Feb 15, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 01:23 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.