Who will be in the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show?
Live
- $23.0K
- $23.0K
- 61
- $7.0K
- $36.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Adele20.5%
- Audrey Nuna15.5%
- Sabrina Carpenter15.0%
- Beyoncé14.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
17 open · 1 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 20.5 %
Adele
$385.59 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢ - 15.5 %
Audrey Nuna
$2.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢ - 15.0 %
Sabrina Carpenter
$1.9K traded, 24 h
Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢ - 14.5 %
Mariah Carey
$1.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 14.5 %
Beyoncé
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 14.5 %
EJAE
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢ - 13.0 %
Lady Gaga
$628.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢ - 12.0 %
Rei Ami
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢ - 12.0 %
Taylor Swift
$451.67 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢ - 11.5 %
Andrea Bocelli
$4.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢
- 11.5 %
Snoop Dogg
$3.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 11.5 %
Lainey Wilson
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢ - 10.5 %
Bruno Mars
$252.99 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 9.5 %
Kacey Musgraves
$483.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢ - 9.0 %
Kelly Clarkson
Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢ - 8.0 %
Martha Stewart
$1.0K traded, 24 h
Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢ - 6.5 %
Post Malone
Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢
1 more that never traded
Event facts
- Category
- Pop Culture · Music
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 5% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 17 open · 1 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 432
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 37,701 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Netflix's NFL Christmas Day games are scheduled to be played on December 25, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person appears in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A person will be considered to appear in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show if they appear live and in person on the official broadcast within one of the following areas: i) the field of play, including the end zones; ii) any surrounding field-level areas below the first level of stands, such as the sidelines, areas behind the end zones, and tunnels leading directly onto the field; or iii) any set, stage, rig, or platform built for the Halftime Show, wherever it stands in the stadium. No particular activity is required, and the length of the appearance does not impact resolution. The official broadcast refers to Netflix's primary telecast of its National Football League games played on December 25, 2026. A Halftime Show is the entertainment program staged at the stadium between the second and third quarters of a Netflix NFL Christmas Day game and presented in the official broadcast, from the start of the program to its conclusion. The following will not qualify absent an appearance in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show as defined above: attendance at a Netflix NFL Christmas Day game; an appearance on the official broadcast outside the designated areas, including in the stands, a suite, or another spectator area; an appearance before a Halftime Show begins or after it ends, including a rehearsal or soundcheck; or an appearance that is not live and in person, including a pre-recorded segment, a remote, satellite, holographic, or digitally projected appearance, or an artificial simulation or recreation of the listed person. If the official broadcast is unavailable for any period during a Halftime Show, an appearance occurring only during that period qualifies only if the NFL or Netflix releases video of the listed person appearing in the Halftime Show by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the game. Official video released by the NFL and Netflix includes video published later in the official broadcast, on their official website, application, streaming service, or official social media accounts. If the broadcast does not become unavailable during a Halftime Show, non-broadcast videos will not qualify for resolution. If no Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show takes place by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Netflix's NFL Christmas Day games; however, videos of the Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show released by Netflix and the NFL may also be used.
This event has 18 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Dec 26, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026 17:18 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.