World · Global electionsIsrael

Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

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The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

Matan Kahana95.0%
Yair Lapid3.4%
Gadi Eisenkot3.1%
Hili Tropper0.7%

Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

23 open · 100 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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100 more that never traded

Event facts

Category: World · Global elections
Structure: Exactly one question can win
Fee: 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond: $500
Resolver: Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions: 23 open · 100 never traded
Fills, last 24 h: 420
Polymarket-reported 24h volume: 17,573 shares

CreatedOct 19, 2026 19:54 UTC
Oct 19, 2026 19:57 UTC
First tradeOct 19, 2026 20:19 UTC
Mar 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.

This event has 123 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Mar 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Nov 10, 2026 09:30 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.