Who will join Trump at APEC in China?
Live
- $5.6K
- $5.6K
- 61
- $4.6K
- $24.8K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Scott Bessent97.3%
- Elon Musk95.5%
- Marco Rubio87.5%
- Jared Kushner50.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
14 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 97.3 %
Scott Bessent
$377.18 traded, 24 h
Yes 97.3¢No 2.7¢ - 95.5 %
Elon Musk
$1.4K traded, 24 h
Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢ - 87.5 %
Marco Rubio
$387.23 traded, 24 h
Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢ - 50.5 %
Jared Kushner
$2.48 traded, 24 h
Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢ - 37.0 %
Tim Cook
$43.40 traded, 24 h
Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢ - 25.0 %
Eric Trump
$59.89 traded, 24 h
Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢ - 20.0 %
Steve Witkoff
$946.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢ - 19.0 %
Sam Altman
$236.93 traded, 24 h
Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢ - 18.5 %
Mark Zuckerberg
$281.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢ - 5.5 %
Barron Trump
$101.22 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Geopolitics
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 14 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 227
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 9,328 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event in China which Donald Trump attends during this visit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If Donald Trump does not visit China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to "No". The visit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This event has 14 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026 23:27 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.