Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...?
Live
- $13.1K
- $39.8K
- 102
- $66.0K
- $36.6K
Where holders with a record are, by question
as of 01:22 UTC19 wallets with a positive Tech record hold $50 or more on this event.
- December 31, 20267.6¢Yes 1 · $73 · paid 7.5¢No 18 · $11.4K · paid 90.1¢
- March 31, 202722.5¢Yes noneNo none
- December 31, 202751.0¢Yes noneNo none
Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 3 questions with the highest chance now.
- December 31, 202751.0%
- March 31, 202722.5%
- December 31, 20267.6%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
3 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Tech · AI
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 3 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 206
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 30,471 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of SpaceX by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, SpaceX includes Space Exploration Technologies Corp., SpaceXAI (formerly xAI), and any of SpaceX’s subsidiaries or controlled entities. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at SpaceX, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of SpaceX will also qualify. Merely investing in SpaceX (including investments by NVIDIA), entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, or working for an independent organization that collaborates with or provides services to SpaceX will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX, the relevant governance body, Elon Musk, or Jensen Huang; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event has 3 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 14, 2026 01:22 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.