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World · Middle Eastshah

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

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$9.7K
$9.53M
8
$607.0K
$120.3K

Questions in this event

1 open · 6 settled

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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Event facts

Category
World · Middle East
Structure
Each question settles on its own; several can win
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
1 open · 6 settled
Fills, last 24 h
10
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
10,589 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This event has 7 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

6 of the 7 have already settled No.

It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 11, 2026 18:24 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.