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Politics · US electionsSpeaker

Question

Will Tom Emmer be the next House Majority Leader?

Live

Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$163.84
5

Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 21:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 3, 2027 00:00 UTC

House Majority Leader of the next Congress? → all 26 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.1 %chance
  • Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Tagged holders
4

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo307.5
  • A…2No88
  • go…26No75
  • Ro…ayYes612.5
  • En…deNo39.5

See who's really positioned here

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Will Tom Emmer be the next House Majority Leader? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank