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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:20 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

6 wallets hold $50 or more here. 2 of them have a positive Politics record.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
0.1¢
On No
2 wallets
Staked
$212
Avg paid
99.5¢
Now
100.0¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • qu…el$75 @ 99.5¢$0
    Politics +1.2¢ · 361 settled · 14 dLifetime +$5.0K · 38,779 settled
  • Lu…ys$138 @ 99.6¢+$1
    Politics +0.4¢ · 162 settled · 14 dLifetime +$27.3K · 3,404 settled

All 2, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank