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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on November 15?

Live · started Nov 13 09:56 UTC

Yes
2.8 % chance
No
97.2 % chance
$519.52
20

Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

14 wallets hold $10 or more here. 7 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
2.8¢
On No
7 wallets
Staked
$370
Avg paid
94.0¢
Now
97.2¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • ma…uu$24 @ 94.1¢+$1
    Weather +3.2¢ · 1,528 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.4K · 5,587 settled
  • gh…ck$29 @ 94.8¢+$1
    Weather +2.1¢ · 6,530 settled · 14 dLifetime −$3.0K · 77,980 settled
  • ca…48$19 @ 94.8¢$0
    Weather +1.4¢ · 499 settled · 14 dLifetime +$22.8K · 20,793 settled

All 7, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.8 %chance
  • Yes 2.8¢ · No 97.2¢
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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on November 15?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank