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Finance · Central banks & ratesECB Interest Rates

Question

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

Live

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$2.8K
13

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:13 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 17, 2026 11:59 UTC

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Tagged holders
12

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo1,360
  • no…erNo717.9
  • xt…meNo638
  • ba…arNo566.2
  • Ad…stNo508

See who's really positioned here

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Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank