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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$2.3K
2

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

5.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
5.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Tagged holders
1

Top holders

  • pr…tyNo2,259
  • Ba…cyYes475.7
  • me…nmNo100
  • xt…meYes309.5
  • d…gNo60.4

See who's really positioned here

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank