Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:29 UTC

Yes

4.0 % chance

96.0 % chance

$1.1K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

6 wallets hold $50 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $101
Avg paid: 24.0¢
Now: 4.0¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $347
Avg paid: 79.7¢
Now: 96.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Bi…ry$101 @ 24.0¢−$84
Weather +2.8¢ · 1,597 settled · 14 dLifetime +$72.5K · 13,372 settled

ba…ar$88 @ 87.7¢+$8
Weather +5.5¢ · 629 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
T…u$259 @ 77.0¢+$64
Weather +3.1¢ · 79 settled · 14 dLifetime +$998 · 188 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

4.0 %chance
Yes 4.0¢ · No 96.0¢

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