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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts Nov 7 12:29 UTC

Yes
16.0 % chance
No
84.0 % chance
$1.0K
13

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

NZ Election: National Party # of seats? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 16.0 %chance
  • Yes 16.0¢ · No 84.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

22.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.5¢
Yes price now
5.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Ha…thNo773.1
  • a.…elYes768.1
  • Le…04No243.5
  • ni…89Yes399.5
  • wf…sfNo188

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Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank