Politics · Global elections
Question
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:29 UTC
Yes
16.0 % chance
No
84.0 % chance
$1.0K
13
Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 16.0 %chance
- Yes 16.0¢ · No 84.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.5¢
Yes price now
5.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Ha…thNo773.1
- a.…elYes768.1
- Le…04No243.5
- ni…89Yes399.5
- wf…sfNo188
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