Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:57 UTC

Yes

40.5 % chance

59.5 % chance

$1.0K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

8 wallets hold $50 or more here. 5 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $81
Avg paid: 11.3¢
Now: 40.5¢

On No

4 wallets

Staked: $605
Avg paid: 89.7¢
Now: 59.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Bi…ry$81 @ 11.3¢+$210
Weather +2.8¢ · 1,597 settled · 14 dLifetime +$72.5K · 13,372 settled

ba…ar$59 @ 84.6¢−$18
Weather +5.5¢ · 629 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
ci…es$55 @ 91.7¢−$19
Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
Bl…te$106 @ 87.6¢−$34
Weather +0.8¢ · 3,247 settled · 14 dLifetime +$47.2K · 33,960 settled

All 5, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

40.5 %chance
Yes 40.5¢ · No 59.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.