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Weather · EarthquakesHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes

Question

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes
4.0 % chance
No
96.0 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Dec 31, 2025 17:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 8, 2027 04:59 UTC

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.0 %chance
  • Yes 4.0¢ · No 96.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

9.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.9¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • Sn…teNo3,351
  • P…RYes6,000
  • in…thNo1,423
  • am…85Yes3,219
  • go…n2No1,239

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Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank