Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz Transits (neg)
Question
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Yes
99.9 % chance
No
0.1 % chance
$5.9K
8
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 99.9 %chance
- Yes 99.9¢ · No 0.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
82.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.9¢
Yes price now
17.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
7
Tagged holders
4
Top holders
- Ro…edYes6,862
- AnonymousYes3,509
- AnonymousYes1,793
- ra…07Yes1,330
- g…hNo2,960
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