Politics · US elections
Question
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 15% by December 31?
Live
Yes
37.0 % chance
No
63.0 % chance
$1.4K
10
Trading opened Nov 10, 2026 01:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 37.0 %chance
- Yes 37.0¢ · No 63.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
40.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
37.0¢
Yes price now
3.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Tagged holders
8
Top holders
- v…iNo432.2
- bi…88Yes300
- In…erYes218
- Te…s7No100
- S…BYes109
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