World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 26?
Live
Yes
75.5 % chance
No
24.5 % chance
$556.05
11
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 27, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 75.5 %chance
- Yes 75.5¢ · No 24.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
58.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
75.5¢
Yes price now
16.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
8
Top holders
- To…owYes222.5
- ch…erYes197
- ve…erNo165
- xt…meNo64.9
- te…ecNo46
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