World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 22?
Live
Yes
70.0 % chance
No
30.0 % chance
$94.79
6
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 23, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 70.0 %chance
- Yes 70.0¢ · No 30.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
79.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
70.0¢
Yes price now
9.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
3
Top holders
- To…owYes40
- xt…meNo40
- ka…esYes20
- ve…erNo21.1
- he…teYes1.1
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