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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?

Live

Yes
56.9 % chance
No
43.1 % chance
$752.79
5

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 56.9 %chance
  • Yes 56.9¢ · No 43.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

42.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
56.9¢
Yes price now
14.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Tagged holders
4

Top holders

  • pr…tyYes521.1
  • ke…alYes129.9
  • ma…11Yes65.1
  • Lu…ysNo54.5
  • xt…meNo55.2

See who's really positioned here

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank