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Politics · US electionsTrumpRepublican House seats

Question

Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live

Yes
47.5 % chance
No
52.5 % chance
$1.5K
26

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 20:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 47.5 %chance
  • Yes 47.5¢ · No 52.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

27.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
47.5¢
Yes price now
20.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • b…sYes868.4
  • Lu…ysNo279.1
  • go…94No225
  • Ar…lyYes200
  • ci…esNo196.8

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Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank