Politics · Ukraine & RussiaOil
Question
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Live
Yes
12.5 % chance
No
87.5 % chance
$6.5K
59
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 22:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.5 %chance
- Yes 12.5¢ · No 87.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
39.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.5¢
Yes price now
27.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
94
Smart money
35
Top holders
- Ma…y1No17,384
- Ni…erYes16,980
- AnonymousYes14,226
- Ma…erNo14,056
- No…98No5,006
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