World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 16?
Live
Yes
79.0 % chance
No
21.0 % chance
$20.99
4
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 17, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 79.0 %chance
- Yes 79.0¢ · No 21.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
82.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
79.0¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
2
Top holders
- us…ngYes12.4
- xt…meNo20
- et…erYes7.6
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