Politics · Economy & the FedFed Rates
Question
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Live
Yes
65.1 % chance
No
34.9 % chance
$246.38
17
Trading opened Jan 12, 2026 17:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 65.1 %chance
- Yes 65.1¢ · No 34.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
65.3¢
Yes price now
36.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
15
Top holders
- ti…n2No10,707
- ch…iuYes5,000
- Da…skYes5,134
- 0x…B5Yes4,010
- in…thNo2,087
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