Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:58 UTC

Yes

45.5 % chance

54.5 % chance

$754.05

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:59 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Manila on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 03:59 UTC

5 wallets hold $50 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $57
Avg paid: 38.7¢
Now: 45.5¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $146
Avg paid: 56.7¢
Now: 54.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

te…ud$57 @ 38.7¢+$10
Weather +0.1¢ · 3,979 settled · 14 dLifetime −$26.3K · 12,367 settled

q…q$73 @ 56.1¢−$2
Weather +10.0¢ · 89 settled · 14 dLifetime +$9.4K · 542 settled
ve…ob$73 @ 57.3¢−$4
Weather +0.3¢ · 1,686 settled · 14 dLifetime −$17 · 2,248 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

45.5 %chance
Yes 45.5¢ · No 54.5¢

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