Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:29 UTC

Yes

2.2 % chance

97.8 % chance

$1.5K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

17 wallets hold $10 or more here. 12 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $20
Avg paid: 2.5¢
Now: 2.2¢

On No

11 wallets

Staked: $1.2K
Avg paid: 91.9¢
Now: 97.8¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Za…ll$20 @ 2.5¢−$2
Weather +1.3¢ · 12 settled · 14 dLifetime +$46 · 57 settled

Anonymous$14 @ 70.5¢+$5
Weather +7.2¢ · 95 settled · 90 dLifetime +$64 · 105 settled
Co…MS$28 @ 82.0¢+$5
Weather +5.1¢ · 389 settled · 14 dLifetime +$163 · 1,692 settled
On…n2$15 @ 81.0¢+$3
Weather +4.9¢ · 435 settled · 14 dLifetime +$11.2K · 6,187 settled

All 12, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

2.2 %chance
Yes 2.2¢ · No 97.8¢

1D · All: Loading…

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