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Weather · SeattleSeattle Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 15?

Live · started Nov 13 09:55 UTC

Yes
52.0 % chance
No
48.0 % chance
$445.22
25

Trading opened Nov 13, 2026 09:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Seattle on November 15? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

11 wallets hold $10 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
52.0¢
On No
6 wallets
Staked
$202
Avg paid
54.9¢
Now
48.0¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • Z…3$80 @ 54.0¢−$9
    Weather +5.3¢ · 271 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.4K · 2,753 settled
  • mu…er$11 @ 54.0¢−$1
    Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
  • ci…es$25 @ 53.5¢−$3
    Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 52.0 %chance
  • Yes 52.0¢ · No 48.0¢
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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 15?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank