Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:29 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$195.86

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

14 wallets hold a position here. 9 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes

8 wallets

Staked: $8
Avg paid: 6.7¢
Now: 0.1¢

On No

1 wallet

Staked: $59
Avg paid: 97.6¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

TE…ET$0 @ 0.1¢$0
Weather +27.4¢ · 15 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.4K · 278,858 settled
a…z$0 @ 0.1¢$0
Weather +2.5¢ · 155 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
2…S$3 @ 7.0¢−$3
Weather +2.3¢ · 884 settled · 14 dLifetime +$100.0K · 50,835 settled

0x…1D$59 @ 97.6¢+$1
Weather +1.4¢ · 36 settled · 14 dLifetime +$5.9K · 658 settled

All 9, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.