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World · Global elections

Question

Will Christine Lagarde win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Live

Yes
3.1 % chance
No
96.9 % chance
$711.83
16

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 18:36 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 18, 2027 23:59 UTC

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place → all 43 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.1 %chance
  • Yes 3.1¢ · No 96.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.1¢
Yes price now
1.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
18
Tagged holders
15

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo641.5
  • do…meNo332.3
  • no…erNo281.7
  • r…lYes1,961
  • me…48No199

See who's really positioned here

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Will Christine Lagarde win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank