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Politics · US electionsSpeaker

Question

Will Steve Scalise be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$3.7K
12

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 22:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

House Minority Leader of the next Congress? → all 27 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

33.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
33.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Tagged holders
11

Top holders

  • ba…arNo2,330
  • R…bNo926.8
  • Co…itYes3,333
  • Vi…axNo370
  • xt…meYes172.1

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Will Steve Scalise be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank