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World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon

Question

Israel military action against Lebanon on November 23?

Live

Yes
78.0 % chance
No
22.0 % chance
$210.90
8

Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 24, 2026 04:59 UTC

Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 78.0 %chance
  • Yes 78.0¢ · No 22.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

79.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
78.0¢
Yes price now
1.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Jo…erYes80
  • xt…meYes60
  • xt…meNo80
  • ka…esYes20
  • su…hxNo20.1

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Israel military action against Lebanon on November 23? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank