Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:29 UTC

Yes

6.9 % chance

93.1 % chance

$471.23

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

6 wallets hold $10 or more here. 5 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $40
Avg paid: 42.9¢
Now: 6.9¢

On No

4 wallets

Staked: $243
Avg paid: 97.3¢
Now: 93.1¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

do…ya$40 @ 42.9¢−$34
Weather +0.9¢ · 730 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.1K · 2,265 settled

mi…ao$20 @ 97.8¢−$1
Weather +2.6¢ · 54 settled · 14 dLifetime −$13 · 3,280 settled
mu…er$16 @ 95.5¢$0
Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
ci…es$18 @ 91.7¢$0
Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

6.9 %chance
Yes 6.9¢ · No 93.1¢

1D · All: Loading…

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