Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$358.78

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

9 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Weather record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 0.1¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $88
Avg paid: 99.2¢
Now: 99.9¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

mu…er$18 @ 99.5¢$0
Weather +1.4¢ · 291 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23.8K · 3,388 settled
ci…es$20 @ 99.6¢$0
Weather +0.9¢ · 2,212 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
El…de$50 @ 98.9¢$0
Weather +0.2¢ · 65 settled · 14 dLifetime −$161 · 2,740 settled

All 3, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.