Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?

Live

Yes

0.3 % chance

99.7 % chance

$9.99

Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:20 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

8 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Politics record.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $58
Avg paid: 13.5¢
Now: 0.3¢

On No

5 wallets

Staked: $784
Avg paid: 94.8¢
Now: 99.8¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$58 @ 13.5¢−$57
Politics +3.0¢ · 4,068 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled

mi…27$74 @ 98.6¢+$1
Politics +0.7¢ · 443 settled · 14 dLifetime +$19.7K · 21,554 settled
Ha…th$51 @ 85.1¢+$9
Politics +0.4¢ · 2,528 settled · 14 dLifetime −$399.0K · 120,702 settled
gr…19$62 @ 83.3¢+$12
Politics +0.4¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$7.4K · 35,720 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.3 %chance
Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢

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