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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?

Live

Yes
1.0 % chance
No
99.0 % chance
$1.5K
15

Trading opened Sep 17, 2026 18:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 12:00 UTC

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.0 %chance
  • Yes 1.0¢ · No 99.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
7.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Tagged holders
12

Top holders

  • Al…53No1,115
  • Lu…ysNo428.9
  • ci…esNo300
  • qu…elNo285
  • Ha…thNo256.6

See who's really positioned here

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Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank