Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$5.8K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

18 wallets hold $50 or more here. 9 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

4 wallets

Staked: $341
Avg paid: 26.8¢
Now: 0.1¢

On No

5 wallets

Staked: $1.5K
Avg paid: 94.7¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

q…q$131 @ 27.6¢−$131
Weather +10.0¢ · 89 settled · 14 dLifetime +$9.4K · 542 settled
fi…ro$74 @ 34.0¢−$74
Weather +3.3¢ · 209 settled · 14 dLifetime +$27.6K · 3,839 settled
Anonymous$51 @ 23.7¢−$51
Weather +3.1¢ · 639 settled · 14 dLifetime +$64.8K · 1,811 settled

Wr…ee$60 @ 79.9¢+$15
Weather +8.0¢ · 513 settled · 14 dLifetime +$21.1K · 13,843 settled
g…f$163 @ 69.1¢+$73
Weather +2.3¢ · 785 settled · 14 dLifetime +$33.1K · 17,236 settled
fr…2f$57 @ 72.5¢+$22
Weather +0.2¢ · 3,055 settled · 14 dLifetime −$21.6K · 8,538 settled

All 9, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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