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World · Global elections

Question

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Live

Yes
4.2 % chance
No
95.8 % chance
$752.31
8

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 18:36 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 18, 2027 23:59 UTC

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place → all 43 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.2 %chance
  • Yes 4.2¢ · No 95.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.9¢
Yes price now
4.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Tagged holders
7

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo622.9
  • ca…48No350.9
  • fl…coYes1,209
  • Nu…94Yes799.3
  • T…2Yes772.7

See who's really positioned here

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Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank