Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
22.5 % chance
No
77.5 % chance
$1.1K
14
Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Feb 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 22.5 %chance
- Yes 22.5¢ · No 77.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
22.5¢
Yes price now
6.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
7
Top holders
- C…rYes13,622
- z…sNo3,180
- Su…tsNo2,631
- de…esNo2,500
- T…2No2,291
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