Politics · Global elections
Question
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:29 UTC
Yes
41.5 % chance
No
58.5 % chance
$1.7K
24
Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:46 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 41.5 %chance
- Yes 41.5¢ · No 58.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
36.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
42.0¢
Yes price now
5.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
15
Top holders
- v…iYes600.9
- Ha…thNo328.4
- Do…orYes264.8
- 1w…usYes194.7
- co…inYes161.3
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