Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz Transits (neg)
Question
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$1.9K
3
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Tagged holders
1
Top holders
- AnonymousNo1,920
- Vi…axNo482.6
- e…3No355.4
- Jo…wnNo198.5
- 88…12No210
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