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Politics · Ukraine & RussiaTrump

Question

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
34.5 % chance
No
65.5 % chance
$11.7K
38

Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 21:59 UTC

Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...? → all 3 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 34.5 %chance
  • Yes 34.5¢ · No 65.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

31.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
34.5¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
75
Tagged holders
29

Top holders

  • Pa…aINo9,036
  • ba…laYes4,511
  • Pa…aIYes4,410
  • S…BNo2,291
  • v…sYes2,549

See who's really positioned here

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Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank