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Politics · US electionsTrumpRepublican House seats

Question

Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live

Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$625.21
19

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 20:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.1 %chance
  • Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

9.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.8¢
Yes price now
7.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • ca…48No380
  • Be…shNo300
  • Lu…ysNo277.9
  • go…26No255
  • sm…ptNo225

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Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank