Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 14?

Live · started Nov 12 05:56 UTC

Yes

97.5 % chance

2.5 % chance

$1.5K

Trading opened Nov 12, 2026 05:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Wellington on November 14? → all 11 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

12 wallets hold $50 or more here. 9 of them have a positive Weather record.

On Yes

6 wallets

Staked: $459
Avg paid: 76.4¢
Now: 97.5¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $263
Avg paid: 55.7¢
Now: 2.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Ap…22$133 @ 82.7¢+$24
Weather +1.8¢ · 801 settled · 14 dLifetime +$185 · 3,128 settled
LU…66$51 @ 48.4¢+$52
Weather +1.2¢ · 92 settled · 14 dLifetime +$529 · 1,272 settled
Or…ay$60 @ 91.0¢+$4
Weather +1.0¢ · 57 settled · 14 dLifetime −$27 · 412 settled

sa…jh$90 @ 47.5¢−$85
Weather +0.3¢ · 450 settled · 14 dLifetime −$20 · 455 settled
fr…2f$74 @ 61.0¢−$71
Weather +0.2¢ · 3,055 settled · 14 dLifetime −$21.6K · 8,538 settled
te…ud$99 @ 59.2¢−$95
Weather +0.1¢ · 3,979 settled · 14 dLifetime −$26.3K · 12,367 settled

All 9, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Weather record beat the price paid by 2.00¢ a share (others −0.64¢; 477,902 positions). Their side has not beaten the price consistently (17,362 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

97.5 %chance
Yes 97.5¢ · No 2.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.