World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7?
Live
Yes
74.5 % chance
No
25.5 % chance
$351.77
25
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 74.5 %chance
- Yes 74.5¢ · No 25.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
66.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
74.5¢
Yes price now
7.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
35
Smart money
14
Top holders
- me…rCYes95
- Jo…erYes75.3
- Ma…tiNo101.5
- To…owYes77.7
- Sa…neNo92.2
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