World · Middle EastIsrael military action against Lebanon
Question
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 30?
Live
Yes
84.5 % chance
No
15.5 % chance
$226.36
6
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 15:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel military action against Lebanon on...? → all 25 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 84.5 %chance
- Yes 84.5¢ · No 15.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
55.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
84.5¢
Yes price now
29.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
3
Top holders
- To…owYes264.1
- ga…anNo60
- ve…erNo55
- ch…erNo20
- La…boNo22
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