Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$0.00
0
Trading opened Aug 5, 2026 20:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Who holds this, and their record
as of 02:15 UTC12 wallets hold $50 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Politics record.
On Yes
2 wallets
- Staked
- $116
- Avg paid
- 18.2¢
- Now
- 0.8¢
On No
4 wallets
- Staked
- $679
- Avg paid
- 88.9¢
- Now
- 99.3¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
- Co…it$57 @ 12.9¢−$54Politics +1.9¢ · 382 settled · 14 dLifetime +$470.6K · 474 settled
- Mi…in$58 @ 23.4¢−$57Politics +0.4¢ · 57 settled · 14 dLifetime −$76 · 293 settled
No
- jo…gh$167 @ 80.5¢+$39Politics +4.8¢ · 264 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.7K · 1,549 settled
- c…u$318 @ 98.8¢+$2Politics +4.0¢ · 96 settled · 14 dLifetime +$1.5K · 1,884 settled
- ha…ay$82 @ 78.0¢+$22Politics +0.7¢ · 310 settled · 14 dLifetime −$765 · 8,273 settled
All 6, by name:
Create a free accountMeasured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Politics record beat the price paid by 1.36¢ a share (others −0.23¢; 74,448 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (3,821 markets). How we measured
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.8 %chance
- Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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